Predicted Long-Term AFR
January 2024
↓
4.35
%
Down vs current —
-68 bp
Current · December 2023
5.03%
Actual
4.54%
Prediction error
-19 bp
Daily rates
Nov 15 — Dec 15
5.05%
5.00%
4.95%
4.90%
4.85%
4.80%
4.75%
4.70%
4.65%
4.60%
4.55%
4.50%
4.45%
4.40%
4.35%
4.30%
4.25%
4.20%
4.15%
4.10%
4.05%
Nov 15
Dec 15
CURRENT 5.03%
PREDICTED 4.35%
5.00%
4.90%
4.80%
4.70%
4.60%
4.50%
4.40%
4.30%
4.20%
4.10%
Nov 15
Dec 15
CUR 5.03%
PRED 4.35%
Daily rate
Running average → prediction
Possible final range
FRED data through December 15, 2023
· each day’s rate posts the next business day
← December 2023
February 2024 →
FRED data through December 15, 2023